Risk-off as US investors prepare for earning seasons. Wall Street for the most of it, has remained remarkably upbeat amid economic damage wrought by the pandemic. Not unsubstantiated as recent economic data revealed stark contrast to March and April gloomy figures. Yesterday’s volatile rejection from fresh highs however suggest sentiment waffling. Unlike before, this earnings season will offer an insight as to whether companies are resilient to and how they have coped with a once in a lifetime crisis.
Faced with the rising rate of global infections, markets diverge from grim realities and continue to rally. On the surface, much of the rally seemingly supported by talks of additional fiscal relief in the works and prolong low rates to remain. Others suggest markets have come to realize an alternate theory. The global economy is transforming upon accepting working-from-home does not affect productivity, the exponential rise of e-commerce and in turn a re-invention of logistics
There is seemingly no end in sight as Coronavirus cases surge. A combination of re-emerging hotspots and government reluctance to act swiftly has cascaded into state-wide infections and in-turn, lock down proceedings. Joining Australia NSW, Queenlands will block border entry from Victorians. Coming Saturday, Hong Kong will re-implement stricter social distancing measures. Curfews to be applied in Serbia. New Jersey to sign an order requiring masks to be worn when outside.
On the other side of the spectrum, whether in favor or against the strict policies implemented by China during their pandemic. Of global nations, China is emerging as the front-runner in successfully flattening the curve and subsequent waves. Investor confidence high with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking out of a year and half consolidation to 3,400. and Yuan appreciating beyond the 7.000 psychological level. Whilst the momentum may slow, with funding cost remaining low in the foreseeable future.